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We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real GDP per capita. All empirical relationships estimated in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009220106
Using an analog of the boundary element method in engineering and science, we analyze and model unemployment rate in … force. Originally, the model linking unemployment to inflation and labor force was developed and successfully tested for …. Nevertheless, the model explains between ~65% and ~95% of the variability in unemployment and inflation. For Italy, the rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837146
Linear relationships between inflation, unemployment, and labor force are obtained for two European countries - Austria … and France. The best fit models of inflation as a linear and lagged function of labor force change rate and unemployment … inflation for the next ten years. In France, inflation lags by four years behind labor force change and unemployment allowing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005617026
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and labor force and between unemployment and labor force are tested separately in appropriate time intervals, where the … properties of error terms. The confirmed validity of the linear lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964
unemployment to the change in the level of labour force in Canada. Inherently, our model belongs to the class of Phillips curve … uncorrelated noise and systematic errors. Our previous model of inflation and unemployment in Canada is enhanced by the … price inflation accompanied by a substantial fall in the rate of unemployment. Therefore, the new monetary policy in Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008927057
A quantitative model is presented linking the rate of inflation and unemployment to the change in the level of labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836412
An empirical model is presented linking inflation and unemployment rate to the change in the level of labour force in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839473
and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … unemployment within the Phillips curve framework. Following the original problem formulation by Fisher and Phillips, the set of … study has validated the reliability and accuracy of the linear and lagged relationships between inflation, unemployment, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998
Past and future evolution of inflation, p(t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan is modeled. Both variables are … curve. This Phillips curve is characterized by a negative relation between inflation and unemployment and their synchronous … evolution: UE(t) = -0.94p(t) + 0.045. Effectively, growing unemployment has resulted in decreasing inflation since 1982. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260050
There is no Phillips curve in the United States, i.e. unemployment does not drive inflation at any time horizon. There … is a statistically robust anti-Phillips curve - inflation leads unemployment by 10 quarters. Apparently, the anti … not reject the hypothesis that there exist a long-term equilibrium relation between inflation and unemployment in the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621243