We provide a set of probabilistic laws for range-based estimation of integrated variance of a continuous semi-martingale. To accomplish this, we exploit the properties of the price range as a volatility proxy and suggest a new method for non-parametric measurement of return variation. Assuming...

We consider a new class of estimators for volatility functionals in the setting of frequently observed It¯o diffusions which are disturbed by i.i.d. noise. These statistics extend the approach of pre-averaging as a general method for the estimation of the integrated volatility in the presence...

We propose a new concept of modulated bipower variation for diffusion models with microstructure noise. We show that this method provides simple estimates for such important quantities as integrated volatility or integrated quarticity. Under mild conditions the consistency of modulated bipower...

The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...