Showing 1 - 5 of 5
The GARCH model and the Stochastic Volatility [SV] model are competing but non-nested models to describe unobserved … volatility in asset returns. We propose a GARCH model with an additional error term, which can capture SV model properties, and … which can be used to test GARCH against SV. We discuss model representation, parameter estimation and a simple test for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005696115
In this paper we test for (Generalized) AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [(G)ARCH] in daily and weekly … data on 22 exchange rates and 13 stock market indices using the standard Lagrange Multiplier [LM] test for GARCH and a new … result is that we find spurious GARCH in over 50% of the cases. Using Monte Carlo simulations, in which we evaluate our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584701
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. A number of different models for heteroskedasticity or conditional heteroskedasticity are proposed and used in applications in this context. This study reviews the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257667
The potential for portfolio diversification is driven broadly by two characteristics: the degree to which systematic risk factors are correlated with each other and the degree of dependence individual firms have to the different types of risk factors. Using a global vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765811
We develop a framework for modeling conditional loss distributions through the introduction of risk factor dynamics. Asset value changes of a credit portfolio are linked to a dynamic global macroeconometric model, allowing macro effects to be isolated from idiosyncratic shocks. Default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766168