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The pricing of G7 sovereign bond spreads: the times, they are a-changin

D'Agostino, Antonello; Ehrmann, Michael - European Central Bank - 2013

Against the background of the current debate about fiscal sustainability in several advanced economies, this paper estimates determinants of G7 sovereign bond spreads, using high‐frequency proxies for market expectations about macroeconomic fundamentals and allowing for time‐varying...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686824

The reception of public signals in financial marketswhat if central bank communication becomes stale?

Ehrmann, Michael; Sondermann, David - European Central Bank - 2009

How do financial markets price new information? This paper analyzes price setting atthe intersection of private and public information, by testing whether and how thereaction of financial markets to public signals depends on the relative importance ofprivate information in agents’ information...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866483

Explaining monetary policy in press conferences

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - European Central Bank - 2007

The question how best to communicate monetary policy decisions remains a highly topical issue among central banks. Focusing on the experience of the European Central Bank, this paper studies how explanations of monetary policy decisions at press conferences are perceived by financial markets....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344820

Household risk management and actual mortgage choice in the euro area

Ehrmann, Michael; Ziegelmeyer, Michael - European Central Bank - 2014

Mortgages constitute the largest part of household debt. An essential choice when taking out a mortgage is between fixed-interest-rate mortgages (FRMs) and adjustable-interest-rate mortgages (ARMs). However, so far, no comprehensive cross-country study has analysed what determines household...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753753

The timing of central bank communication

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - European Central Bank - 2005

This paper explores whether there are systematic patterns as to when members of the decision-making committees of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank communicate with the public, and under what circumstances such communication has the ability to move financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816134

Purdah: on the rationale for central bank silence around policy meetings

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - European Central Bank - 2008

Despite substantial differences in monetary policy and communication strategies, many central banks share the practice of purdah, a self-imposed guideline of abstaining from communication around policy meetings or other important events. This practice is remarkable, as it seems to contradict the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816165

Liquidity Shortages and Monetary Policy

Cao, Jin; Illing, Gerhard - CESifo - 2008

pure illiquidity risk. It is shown that, when bad states are highly unlikely, public provision of liquidity may improve the … an incentive of financial intermediaries to free ride on liquidity in good states, resulting in excessively low liquidity … more liquid investment. In that case, liquidity injection will make the free riding problem even worse. The results show …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766205

The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts

Ehrmann, Michael; Eijffinger, Sylvester; Fratzscher, Marcel - European Central Bank - 2010

There is a broad consensus in the literature that costs of information processing and acquisition may generate costly disagreements in expectations among economic agents, and that central banks may play a central role in reducing such dispersion in expectations. This paper analyses empirically...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008545908

The reception of public signals in financial markets - what if central bank communication becomes stale?

Ehrmann, Michael; Sondermann, David - European Central Bank - 2009

How do financial markets price new information? This paper analyzes price setting at the intersection of private and public information, by testing whether and how the reaction of financial markets to public signals depends on the relative importance of private information in agents’...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068625

Taking stock: monetary policy transmission to equity markets

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - European Central Bank - 2004

This paper analyses the effects of US monetary policy on stock markets. We find that, on average, a tightening of 50 basis points reduces returns by about 3%. Moreover, returns react more strongly when no change had been expected, when there is a directional change in the monetary policy stance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005070377