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Cao, Jin; Illing, Gerhard - CESifo - 2008

pure illiquidity risk. It is shown that, when bad states are highly unlikely, public provision of liquidity may improve the … an incentive of financial intermediaries to free ride on liquidity in good states, resulting in excessively low liquidity … more liquid investment. In that case, liquidity injection will make the free riding problem even worse. The results show …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766205

Forecasting ECB monetary policy: accuracy is (still) a matter of geography

Berger, Helge; Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Freie Universität … - 2006

Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multi-country, multi-cultural, and multi-lingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand and to anticipate monetary policy by the ECB? Using a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533521

Geography or skills: what explains Fed Wachters' forecast accuracy of US monetary policy?

Berger, Helge; Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaft, Freie Universität … - 2008

The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the ability of Fed watchers to forecast US monetary policy decisions. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533527

Financial Fragility, Bubbles and Monetary Policy

Illing, Gerhard - CESifo - 2001

prevent a run on financial intermediation by injecting liquidity when asset values fall significantly. The inflationary side … a central bank to inject liquidity in a crisis. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181425

Global Financial Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - CESifo - 2006

The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181586