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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005410904
Productivity rises in booms and falls in recessions. There are four main explanations for this procyclical productivity … procyclical productivity as an essential feature of business cycles because each explanation has important implications for … utilization and resource reallocations are particularly important in explaining procyclical productivity. We also argue that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005726266
Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One interpretation speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877944
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948836
Governments in extraction countries are anxious to estimate expected investment in development projects, since they represent an essential element of the macro economy. The overall level of activity is also crucial to oil companies, since the macro picture affects cost levels, the supplies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948869
&D investment and productivity growth are more negatively correlated with sales volatility in more credit constrained firms. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930234
We analyze the transmission of global financial crisis to business cycles in China and India. The pattern of business cycles in emerging Asian economies generally displays a low degree of synchronization with the OECD countries, which is consistent with the decoupling hypothesis. By contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013072
The paper studies the interaction between cyclical uncertainty and investment in a stochastic real option framework where demand shifts stochastically between three different states, each with different rates of drift and volatility. In our setting the shifts are governed by a three-state Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013955
This paper uses highly detailed, quarterly data for five major industrialized economies to estimate the impact of macroeconomic fluctuations on import protection policies over 1988:Q1–2010:Q4. First, estimates on a pre-Great Recession sample of data provide evidence of two key relationships....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009390673
To construct models and to apply quantitative techniques in order to explain the cyclical movements of the economy is one of the main aims of “X-Crise” group (nickname of “Centre Polytechnicien d'Etudes Economiques”) at the “Ecole Polytechnique” in Paris. Indeed, french...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643781