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Remarks at the Quarterly Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.
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Standard real business cycle models must rely on total factor productivity (TFP) shocks to explain the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636173
changes in telecommunications and computer technologies did significantly affect U.S. productivity and GDP growth in both the … productivity and capital all increase at the aggregate level. However, not all sectors of the economy respond in the same way … positive affect of the shock on Total Factor Productivity in the sector. Employment increases and capital increases appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069354
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387309
Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One interpretation speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877944
We create a novel measure of job search effort starting in 1994 by exploiting the overlap between the Current Population Survey and the American Time Use Survey. We examine the cyclical behavior of aggregate job search effort using time series and cross-state variation and find that it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890133
This paper empirically investigates banks’ investment allocations over the recent business cycle. I identify unsolicited deposit shocks resulting from unconventional energy development and estimate bank allocations of these deposits. In the pre-recession period, banks lend 38 percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936676
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948836
Governments in extraction countries are anxious to estimate expected investment in development projects, since they represent an essential element of the macro economy. The overall level of activity is also crucial to oil companies, since the macro picture affects cost levels, the supplies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948869
I provide empirical evidence that badly governed firms respond more to aggregate shocks than do well governed firms. I build a simple model where managers are prone to over-invest and where shareholders are more willing to tolerate such a behavior in good times. The model successfully explains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085432