This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

The favorite-longshot bias describes the longstanding empirical regularity that betting odds provide biased estimates of the probability of a horse winning—longshots are overbet, while favorites are underbet. Neoclassical explanations of this phenomenon focus on rational gamblers who overbet...

In the empirical literature, only few studies have focused on the relationship between oil prices and stock markets in net oil-importing countries. In net oil-exporting countries this relationship has not been widely researched. This paper implements the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006),...

Turnovsky (1995) derives in a continuous-time model of a decentralized economy that the correct specification of the firm’s objective function is to maximize the initial value of its outstanding securities. The firm value is the discounted flow of real earnings. For the discrete-time version...

It is not immediately clear how to discount distant-future events, like climate change, when the distant-future discount rate itself is uncertain. The so-called “Weitzman-Gollier puzzle” is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future...

Este documento contiene más de treinta errores y disparates sobre valoración de empresas: la mayoría están más relacionados con la ausencia de sensatez que con la técnica. En julio de 2008, un Magistrado estableció que el valor razonable de las acciones de una admirada y rentable empresa...

Este documento contiene un ranking de las gestoras realizado comparando la evolución de sus fondos desde 1994 hasta 2009. Una gestora ha sido mejor que otra cuando sus fondos han obtenido menor diferencia con los mejores de su categoría (en media y corrigiendo la diferencia con la dispersión...

En 2009, la rentabilidad del IBEX 35 fue del 38,3% y hubo 89 empresas (entre 125) con rentabilidad positiva. Considerando conjuntamente los años 2009 y 2008, sólo diez empresas tuvieron rentabilidad positiva. Las 125 empresas crearon valor para sus accionistas por importe de 100 millardos de...

We compute the correlations of the annual stock returns (1989-2008) of the Dow Jones companies with a) Rm; and with b) Rm; and find that the second correlation (assuming beta = 1 for all companies) is higher than the first one, on average, and for all companies except Caterpillar and General...