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) in a normal recession and recovery real GDP per capita falls by 1.5 percent and takes only 2 years to regain its previous … peak, but in a financial crisis recession the drop is typically 5 percent and it takes over 5 years to regain the previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877944
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948836
Governments in extraction countries are anxious to estimate expected investment in development projects, since they represent an essential element of the macro economy. The overall level of activity is also crucial to oil companies, since the macro picture affects cost levels, the supplies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948869
Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are expansionary while those in the investment sector are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667413
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970318
This paper studies the provision of incentives to reallocate capital when managers are reluctant to relinquish control and have private information about the productivity of assets under their control. We show that when managers get private benefits from running projects substantial bonuses are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970357
This paper evaluates whether an estimated, structural, small open economy model of the Canadian economy can account for the substantial influence of foreign-sourced disturbances identified in numerous reduced-form studies. The analysis shows that the benchmark model --- and a number of variants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977913
This paper proposes a strategy to measure, in a unified setting, how the job finding probability and the job separation probability conditional on observable and unobservable individual characteristics varies over the business cycle. Recent papers by Shimer and Hall point out how new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069220
search with observed U.S. time series measures on employment, vacancies, and aggregate output to uncover the cyclical … employment changes, our procedure also implies measured time series of the flows into and out of employment. We find that labor … cyclical patterns lead to procyclical implied gross employment flows, thereby concentrating labor force reallocation during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069225
So far the literature on DSGE models with energy price shocks models energy on the production side only. In these models, energy shocks are responsible for only a negligible share of output fluctuations. We study the robustness of this finding. The aim of our paper is to model the response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069247