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Using Real-Time Data to Test for Political Budget Cycles

Jong-A-Pin, Richard; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - CESifo - 2012

We use real]time annual data on the fiscal balance, government current spending, current revenues and net capital outlays as published at a half yearly frequency in the OECD Economic Outlook for 25 OECD countries. For each fiscal year t we have a number of forecasts, a first release, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575440

Fiscal Adjustment and the Costs of Public Debt Service: Evidence from OECD Countries

Schaltegger, Christoph A.; Weder, Martin - CESifo - 2010

We use a panel of 21 OECD countries from 1970 to 2009 to investigate the effects of different fiscal adjustment strategies on long-term interest rates – a key fiscal indicator reflecting the costs of government debt service. A government confronted with high deficits and rising debt will...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833886

Convergence of Monetary Transmission in EMU New Evidence

Toolsema, Linda A.; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - CESifo - 2001

This paper examines how the pass-through of monetary policy measures in 6 EMU countries has evolved over time and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181532

Has the EMU Reduced Wage Growth and Unemployment? Testing a Model of Trade Union Behaviour

Mikosch, Heiner; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - CESifo - 2011

(EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner’s model, monetary …. Although we come up with some weak evidence for increased business cycle amplitudes within the EMU, we neither find a … significant general effect of the EMU on wage growth nor on unemployment. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020101

Do Large Cabinets Favor Large Governments? Evidence from Swiss Sub-Federal Jurisdictions

Schaltegger, Christoph A.; Feld, Lars P. - CESifo - 2004

The fiscal commons problem is one of the most prominent explanations of excessive spending and indebtedness in political economics. The more fragmented a government, the higher its spending, deficits and debt. In this paper we investigate to what extent this problem can be mitigated by different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094240

Political Stability and Fiscal Policy - Time Series Evidence for the Swiss Federal Level since 1849

Feld, Lars P.; Schaltegger, Christoph A. - CESifo - 2009

This paper explores the role of political stability on fiscal policy choices in a time-series ana-lysis over 158 years on the Swiss federal level. We argue that the fiscal-commons problem of public finances is affected by the time-horizon of a finance minister. Arguably, the incentives for an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034630