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Monetary Policy Analysis in Real-Time. Vintage Combination from a Real-Time Dataset.

Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - CESifo - 2011

This paper provides a general strategy for analyzing monetary policy in real time which accounts for data uncertainty without explicitly modelling the revision process. The strategy makes use of all the data available from a real-time data matrix and averages model estimates across all data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861862

Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks viaChanges in Volatility

Lanne, Markku; Luetkepohl, Helmut - CESifo - 2006

A central issue of monetary policy analysis is the specification of monetary policy shocks. In a structural vector autoregressive setting there has been some controversy about which restrictions to use for identifying the shocks because standard theories do not provide enoughinformation to fully...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765901

Liquidity Shortages and Monetary Policy

Cao, Jin; Illing, Gerhard - CESifo - 2008

pure illiquidity risk. It is shown that, when bad states are highly unlikely, public provision of liquidity may improve the … an incentive of financial intermediaries to free ride on liquidity in good states, resulting in excessively low liquidity … more liquid investment. In that case, liquidity injection will make the free riding problem even worse. The results show …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766205

The Transmission of German Monetary Policy in the Pre-Euro Period

Luetkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - CESifo - 2001

A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181277

Financial Fragility, Bubbles and Monetary Policy

Illing, Gerhard - CESifo - 2001

prevent a run on financial intermediation by injecting liquidity when asset values fall significantly. The inflationary side … a central bank to inject liquidity in a crisis. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181425

Global Financial Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks

Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - CESifo - 2006

The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181586

The Effects of Monetary Policy on Unemployment Dynamics under Model Uncertainty - Evidence from the US and the Euro Area

Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - CESifo - 2009

This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051516