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The “natural” in the natural rate of unemployment is a misnomer, insofar as unemployment does not occur in nature. The concept is especially misleading because many economists and media commentators inappropriately equate it with “full” employment. As a consequence, endemic un- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948813
constant inflation. This change has been more pronounced than elsewhere. We argue that this stems from the immigration boom in …’ labor supply or bargaining power differ. Estimation of the curve for Spain indicates that the fall in unemployment since … 1995 would have led to an annual increase in inflation of 2.5 percentage points if it had not been largely offset by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765714
It is an open question whether and how indexed wage contracts reduce welfare or raise average inflation. This paper … analyzes the impact of indexed wage contracts on inflation and social welfare in a Barro–Gordon model with discretionary … monetary policy by endogenizing social costs of indexation. Main results are: Wage indexation reduces the inflation bias but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181264
, we follow Roberts (1997) and Adam and Padula (2003) and use direct measures of inflation expectations. The data source is … the Ifo World Economic Survey, which quarterly polls economic experts about their expected future development of inflation … turns out to more relevant for most countries in our sample. (ii) The use of survey data for inflation expectations yields a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181411
By using a model of trade union behaviour Grüner (2010) argues that the introduction of the European Monetary Union (EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner’s model, monetary centralization lets the central bank react less flexibly to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020101
Keynesian model we show that, if households have hyperbolic discounting, small positive rates of inflation can be optimal. In … our baseline calibration, the optimal rate of inflation is 2.1% and remains positive across a wide range of calibrations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024848
indexation to past inflation to vary according to the monetary policy regime. We find that the extent of wage indexation is … significantly lower in an inflation targeting regime, in contrast to monetary targeting, exchange rate targeting and policy regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096353
compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of … the crisis, predicting a decade of stagnation for the south and inflation for the north. Keynesian demand policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877720
repression in domestic interest rates—to avoid an avalanche of foreign capital inflows that would threaten inflation and asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877868
import prices only to a small extent, it may have a substantial impact on inflation, as it exerts a sizeable impact on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010535633