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Are the Baltic Countries Ready to Adopt the Euro? A Generalised Purchasing Power Parity Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Ciferri, Davide; Girardi, … - CESifo - 2008
This paper focuses on macroeconomic interdependencies between the Euro area and three transition economies (Estonia …, Lithuania and Latvia), with the aim of establishing whether the latter are ready to adopt the Euro. The theoretical framework is … exchange rate vis-à-vis the Euro of each Baltic country, reflecting a degree of real convergence consistent with Optimum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094477
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Effectiveness and Transmission of the ECB's Balance Sheet Policies
Boeckx, Jef; Dossche, Maarten; Peersman, Gert - CESifo - 2014
We estimate the effects of exogenous innovations to the balance sheet of the ECB since the start of the financial crisis within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock stimulates bank lending, stabilizes financial markets, and has a positive impact on economic activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010887047
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Equity Risk Premium and Regional Integration
Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi; Teulon, Frédéric; Rault, … - CESifo - 2013
This article contributes to the literature on stock market integration by developing and estimating a capital asset pricing model with segmentation effects in order to assess stock market segmentation and its effects on risk premia at the regional level. We show that the estimated degrees of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877634
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Market Structure and the Cost of Capital
Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi; Rault, Christophe; Sova, Robert; … - CESifo - 2013
We contribute to the finance literature in two main ways. First, we present a theoretical capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to price assets in different market structures. Second, we use our model to analyze whether when markets are partially segmented using the local or the global CAPM yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877642
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Macro News and Stock Returns in the Euro Area: A VAR-GARCH-in-Means Analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - CESifo - 2014
the euro area (Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain) using daily data for the period 1994 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877764
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Macro News and Bond Yield Spreads in the Euro Area
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - CESifo - 2014
German Bund and on sovereign bonds in eight countries belonging to the euro area (Belgium, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948819
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Spillovers between Food and Energy Prices and Structural Breaks
Al-Maadid, Alanoud; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - CESifo - 2015
This paper estimates a bivariate VAR-GARCH(1,1) model to examine linkages between food and energy prices. The adopted framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting from four recent events, namely: 1) the 2006 food...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212078
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Stock Market Integration between three CEECs, Russia and the UK
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Nicola - CESifo - 2010
testing for possible shifts in the transmission of volatility following the introduction of the euro and EU accession. Further …. Furthermore, whilst the introduction of the euro has had mixed effects, EU accession has resulted in an increase in volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583722
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The Impact of Basel III on Trade Finance: The Potential Unintended Consequences of the Leverage Ratio
Auboin, Marc; Blengini, Isabella - CESifo - 2014
Trade finance, particularly in the form of short-term letters of credit has received favourable capital treatment new Basel III rules. However, concerns have been expressed over the potential negative “unintended consequences” of the newly created leverage ratio for trade. This paper offers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948837
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External Sovereign Debt in a Monetary Union: Bailouts and the Role of Corruption
Achury, Carolina; Koulovatianos, Christos; Tsoukalas, … - CESifo - 2011
We build a tractable stylized model of external sovereign debt and endogenous international interest rates. In corrupt economies with rent-seeking groups stealing public resources, a politico-economic equilibrium is characterized by permanent fiscal impatience which leads to excessive issuing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228617