Do survey data on inflation expectations contain useful information for estimating macroeconomic models? I address this … restriction and helps to determine the forecasting model for inflation that agents use under learning. My results reveal that the … inflation expectations. …

variables, should not affect agents’ expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …

Using daily data on inflation-indexed bonds, we find evidence of a negative relationship between ECB communication … changes in euro area break-even inflation. However, this result is only found for the second half of 2005. At that time, the …

, we follow Roberts (1997) and Adam and Padula (2003) and use direct measures of inflation expectations. The data source is … the Ifo World Economic Survey, which quarterly polls economic experts about their expected future development of inflation … turns out to more relevant for most countries in our sample. (ii) The use of survey data for inflation expectations yields a …