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Early Warning System for Economic and Financial Risks in Kazakhstan
Bhattacharyay, Biswa N.; Dlugosch, Dennis; Kolb, Benedikt; … - CESifo - 2009
This paper proposes a macro-prudential financial soundness analysis that can be used by most developing and transformation countries with or without crisis experience as well as by developed countries with limited data. The objective is to detect economic and financial sector vulnerability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534036
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Towards a Macroprudential Surveillance and Remedial Policy Formulation System for Monitoring Financial Crisis
Bhattacharyay, Biswa N. - CESifo - 2009
Several developing economies witnessed a large number of systemic financial and currency crises since the 1980s which resulted in severe economic, social, and political problems. The devastating impact of the 1982 and 1994-95 Mexican crises, the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, the 1998 Russian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583704
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Stock Markets, Banks and Long Run Economics Growth: A Panel Cointegration-Based Analysis
Cavenaile, Laurent; Gengenbach, Christian; Palm, Franz - CESifo - 2013
and economic growth. We make use of a Johansen-based panel cointegration methodology allowing for cross-country dependence … a single cointegrating vector between financial development and growth and of causality going from financial development … to economic growth. We find little evidence of reverse causation as well as bi-directional causality. We interpret this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723543
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Consumption, Wealth and Business Cycles in Germany
Hamburg, Britta; Hoffmann, Mathias; Keller, Joachim - CESifo - 2005
This paper studies the long-run relationship between consumption, asset wealth and income in Germany, based on data from 1980 to 2003. While earlier studies — mostly for the Anglo-Saxon economies — have generally documented that departures of these three variables from their common trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765943
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Liquidity, Term Spreads and Monetary Policy
Aksoy, Yunus; Basso, Henrique S. - CESifo - 2012
We propose a model that delivers endogenous variations in term spreads driven by banks’ portfolio decision while facing the risk of maturity transformation. First, we show that fluctuations of the future profitability of banks’ portfolios affect their ability to cover for any liquidity needs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010690388
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Financial Dollarization and European Union Membership
Neanidis, Kyriakos C. - CESifo - 2010
We analyze the effect of European Union (EU) membership on financial dollarization for the Central and Eastern European countries. Using a unique monthly dataset that spans about two decades, we find that both the accession process toward EU membership and EU entry have a direct impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572484
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Analysis of Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: A New Paradigm
Goodhart, Charles A. E.; Osorio, Carolina; Tsomocos, … - CESifo - 2009
This paper introduces agent heterogeneity, liquidity, and endogenous default to a DSGE framework. Our model allows for a comprehensive assessment of regulatory and monetary policy, as well as welfare analysis in the different sectors of the economy. Due to liquidity and endogenous default, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583683
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Securitization and Asset Prices
Aksoy, Yunus; Basso, Henrique S. - CESifo - 2015
and asset prices and show that increases in the growth rate of the volume of ABS issuance lead to a decline in both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011167135
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The Volatility Curse: Revisiting the Paradox of Plenty
Ploeg, Frederick Van der; Poelhekke, Steven - CESifo - 2009
The volatility of unanticipated output growth in income per capita is detrimental to long-run development, controlling … for initial income per capita, population growth, human capital, investment, openness and natural resource dependence … the black box and conditioning the variance of growth shocks on several country characteristics. Natural resource …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000394
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Financial Frictions and Inflation Differentials in a Monetary Union
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - CESifo - 2010
This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation differentials can be explained by cross-country differences concerning the characteristics of financial markets. Our results suggest that empirically plausible degrees of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727289