Showing 1 - 10 of 198
harvesting even if the commercial profit from harvest is negative. If that is the case, the optimal harvest age is decreasing in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877686
a richer risk attitude than that captured in the standard discounted expected utility model. I derive three models that … permit a more comprehensive risk evaluation. These preference representations differ regarding the consistency requirements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544183
This paper examines the impact of Knightian uncertainty upon optimal climate policy through the prism of a continuous-time real option modelling framework. We analytically determine optimal intertemporal climate policies under ambiguity. Additionally, numerical simulations are provided to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009221550
assumption of (intertemporal) risk neutrality reduces the growth effect in social discounting and significantly amplifies the … importance of risk and correlation. Second, debate and models largely overlook the difference in attitude with respect to risk … and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645646
-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with “tail risk”. In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511618
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to ‘fat-tailed’ risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703424
We present a simple approach to transform a deterministic numerical model, where several agents simultaneously make decisions, into a stochastic model. This approach, which builds on scenario aggregation, a numerical method developed to solve decision problems under uncertainty, is used to build...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010720640
The paper reexamines the welfare economics of intergenerational risk. Risk and its resolution over time are modeled as … preferences to (i) disentangle aversion to intergenerational inequality from aversion to risk, (ii) exhibit a preference for early … resolution of risk, (iii) show different discounting formulas depending on the magnitude of risk and on the timing of its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103396
The quintessence of recent natural science studies is that the 2°C target can only be achieved with massive emission reductions in the next few years. The central twist of this paper is the addition of this limited time to act into a non-perpetual real options framework analysing optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371345
Under conditions of risk it makes a difference whether the discount rate is determined as an expected present or as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948878