Showing 1 - 10 of 73
. Further, while during earlier parts of our sample both a slowdown in consumption and investment growth contribute to a … decomposition for consumption growth shows that the contribution of stock market volatility becomes negligible as we go from earlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371360
the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278934
consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income should predict both stock returns and housing returns. We use quarterly data for … temporarily allow consumption to rise. Regarding housing returns, if housing assets are complementary to stocks, then investors … their consumption. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009325810
deviations from the common trend among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income, cay, and focus on the implications for … future stock returns to be higher, they will temporarily allow consumption to rise. Regarding housing returns, if housing … substitutes consumption will be temporarily reduced. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352230
use behavioral economics to improve some of the underpinnings of the New Keynesian model—specifically, consumption, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877677
This paper examines empirically the interaction between immigration and host country economic conditions. We employ panel VAR techniques to use a large annual dataset on 22 OECD countries over the period 1987-2009. The VAR approach allows to addresses the endogeneity problem by allowing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877796
We study the dynamic Ramsey problem of finding optimal public debt and linear taxes on capital and labor income within a tractable infinite horizon model with incomplete markets. With zero public expenditure and debt, it is optimal to tax the risky labor income and subsidize capital, while a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293486
It has long been argued that the anticipations of some future event will impact current consumption and well-being in … model, by assuming that in addition to his own current consumption, an agent’s current utility depends upon a reference … consumption level that is based on expected future consumption. Two alternative specifications of the anticipated future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723532
Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010755772
its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are … shocks as a predictive force behind fluctuations. Consumption sector TFP news shocks generate both aggregate and sectoral co …-movement and account for approximately, 31%, 21%, 43%, 29% in the variance of output, investment, hours worked, and consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667413