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Monetary Union (EMU) member countries. Notable differences emerge across the countries. Taking a euro area perspective, we also … show that it depends upon the underlying country weighting scheme in the monetary decision process of the ECB whether or … not there has been a synchronisation of business and inflation cycles among the EMU member countries over the years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406450
inverted with the onset of the financial crisis. To shed light on the underlying decision rule of the ECB, we rank different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670796
We examine the role of money in the policies of the ECB, using introductory statements of the ECB President at the … somewhat more important in the later half of the sample, only played a minor role most of the time. Our estimates of ECB … interest rate decisions suggest that the ECB’s words (monetary-sector based policy intensions) are not an important determinant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406390
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051516
This paper provides a general strategy for analyzing monetary policy in real time which accounts for data uncertainty without explicitly modelling the revision process. The strategy makes use of all the data available from a real-time data matrix and averages model estimates across all data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861862
(EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner’s model, monetary …. Although we come up with some weak evidence for increased business cycle amplitudes within the EMU, we neither find a … significant general effect of the EMU on wage growth nor on unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020101
Many central banks have become more transparent during the last decade, in particular about macroeconomic prospects. This paper shows that such economic transparency could give central banks greater flexibility to respond to macroeconomic shocks. In particular, it allows central banks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877697
Using voting data from the Bank of England, we show that different individual assessments of the economy strongly influence votes after controlling for individual policy preferences. We estimate that internal members form more precise assessments than externals and are also more hawkish, though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877935
This brief exposition suggests that the Federal Reserve System temporarily guarantee a lower bound on stock prices in order to escape the current combination of liquidity trap and credit crunch. It shortly discusses reasons for this measure, consequences, and some alternatives. It is meant as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765775
This paper analyzes empirically differences in the size of central bank boards across countries. Defining a board as the body that changes monetary instruments to achieve a specified target, we discuss the possible determinants of a board’s size. The empirical relevance of these factors is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181616