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to the stock-flow approach and augmenting the monetary model with share prices and the country risk premium improves … commodity prices do not help explain the large depreciations. While these models do a reasonably good job in-sample, their out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010554826
We find that productivity gains in tradables cause an appreciation of the real exchange rate via both tradable and … nontradable prices in the CEE-5 and have no affect in the Baltic countries, while they lead to a depreciation of the real exchange … rate of tradables in OECD economies that overcompensates the appreciation due to nontradable prices. Rising net foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405897
The financial crisis of 2007-2008 had major implications for the foreign exchange market. We review events and implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This “blow-by-blow” narrative is intended to be a resource for researchers seeking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013075
Historical data for over hundred years and 14 countries is used to estimate the long-run effect of productivity on the … real exchange rate. We find large variations in the productivity effect across four distinct monetary regimes in the sample … argue that changes in trade costs over time may affect the impact of productivity on the real exchange rate over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877817
This paper describes and analyzes “automated intervention” of a target zone. Unusually detailed information about the order book allows studying intervention effects in a microstructure approach. We find in our sample that intervention increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181265
Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination have focused upon a narrow set of models typically of the 1970’s vintage, including monetary and portfolio balance models. In this paper we re-assess the in-sample fit and out-of-sample prediction of a wider set of models that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406410
advantage in manufactures. This paper explores the evolution of China’s relative unit labor costs in manufacturing over 1998 …-2009. Between 1998 and 2003 China’s unit labor costs fell, but since 2003 they have increased both absolutely and relative to US … unit labor costs. Much of the rise in China’s relative unit labor costs can be traced to a real appreciation of the yuan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323303
We explore the role of interest rate policy in the exchange rate determination process. Specifically, we derive exchange rate equations from interest rate rules that are theoretically optimal under a few alternative settings. The exchange rate equation depends on its underlying interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294099
domestic as well as weighted foreign prices is a homogeneous function of a country’s international investment position. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406415
negative impact of currency appreciation as well as currency volatility on Indian firms’ export shares. The labor costs are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010641419