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This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013037
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406171
changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008872211
This study assesses fiscal sustainability in contemporary Spain at the regional level. Spain consists of 17 autonomous regions, two fiscal regimes differing in taxing autonomy, and two path-dependent types of communities with more and less legislatively recognized autonomy. Three of the 17...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010756168
]run relation between expenditures and revenues in a cointegration analysis within each Land. The results provide evidence against …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067196
The ‘saving for a rainy day’ hypothesis implies that households’ saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278934
particular, we carry out a detailed historical analysis, aiming to identify, in a narrative approach, the determinants of public … debt and its ratio to GDP. Second, exploiting unit root analysis and cointegration, we test for the sustainability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548150
(possibly unwarranted) homogeneity and proportionality restrictions are not imposed, and trivariate cointegration (stage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765840
This note uses insights from cointegration analysis to reexamine two separate but related issues concerning the … by Caballero, 1994) that rely on cointegration to recover production function parameters. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196274
operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405925