Showing 1 - 10 of 215
We present a simple approach to transform a deterministic numerical model, where several agents simultaneously make decisions, into a stochastic model. This approach, which builds on scenario aggregation, a numerical method developed to solve decision problems under uncertainty, is used to build...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010720640
This paper focuses on two equity dimensions of climate policy, intra- and intergenerational, and analyzes the implications of equity preferences on climate policy, and on the production and consumption patterns in rich and poor countries. We develop a dynamic two-region model, in which each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877658
Common integrated assessment models produce the counterintuitive result that higher risk aversion does not lead to …. The simulations show that aversion to this tipping point risk has little effect. For climate sensitivity of realistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886106
, agents can either decide rationally according to expected utility theory or intuitively according to case-based decision … theory. Rational decisions are more precise but create higher costs, though these costs may decrease over time. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103391
a richer risk attitude than that captured in the standard discounted expected utility model. I derive three models that … permit a more comprehensive risk evaluation. These preference representations differ regarding the consistency requirements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544183
This paper examines the impact of Knightian uncertainty upon optimal climate policy through the prism of a continuous-time real option modelling framework. We analytically determine optimal intertemporal climate policies under ambiguity. Additionally, numerical simulations are provided to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009221550
assumption of (intertemporal) risk neutrality reduces the growth effect in social discounting and significantly amplifies the … importance of risk and correlation. Second, debate and models largely overlook the difference in attitude with respect to risk … and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645646
-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with “tail risk”. In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511618
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to ‘fat-tailed’ risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703424
The paper reexamines the welfare economics of intergenerational risk. Risk and its resolution over time are modeled as … preferences to (i) disentangle aversion to intergenerational inequality from aversion to risk, (ii) exhibit a preference for early … resolution of risk, (iii) show different discounting formulas depending on the magnitude of risk and on the timing of its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103396