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Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for … expansionary while those in the investment sector are broadly contractionary. Our results indicate a significant role of TFP news … shocks as a predictive force behind fluctuations. Consumption sector TFP news shocks generate both aggregate and sectoral co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667413
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572577
RBC model with only first moment shocks. The mild changes we do find are mainly caused by a bad news effect: higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583646
Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010755772
Over the past 20 years, macroeconomists have incorporated more and more results from behavioral economics into their models. We argue that doing so has helped fixed deficiencies with standard approaches to modeling the economy—for example, the counterfactual absence of inertia in the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877677
exchange rates and stock prices. On the other hand we model the relationship between these two series through a DSGE model … information from the financial markets. The second rule follows a backward looking approach. We find that when DSGE agents … volatility of these markets. The simulated series replicate the stylized facts of real data. We also estimate the DSGE and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665041
This paper estimates the effects of tax changes on the U.K. economy. Identification is achieved by isolating the ‘exogenous’ tax policy shocks in the post-war U.K. economy using a narrative strategy as in Romer and Romer (2010). The resulting tax changes are shown to be unforecastable on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020785
In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272622
By studying the gap between the discount rates used by executives and shareholders, we assess the extent to which governance problems distort firm behavior. The estimation strategy recovers discount rates used by executives from the pattern of their actual investment spending. Our empirical work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765749
In this paper we reexamine the Feldstein-Horioka finding of limited international capital mobility by using a broader view (i.e., including human capital) of investment and saving. We find that the Feldstein-Horioka result is impervious to this change.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765936