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In this paper, we show, using the consumer’s budget constraint, that the residuals of the trend relationship among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income should predict both stock returns and housing returns. We use quarterly data for a panel of 31 emerging economies and find that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009325810
In this paper we use a representative consumer model to analyse the equilibrium relation between the transitory deviations from the common trend among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income, cay, and focus on the implications for both stock returns and housing returns. The evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352230
compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of … the crisis, predicting a decade of stagnation for the south and inflation for the north. Keynesian demand policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877720
import prices only to a small extent, it may have a substantial impact on inflation, as it exerts a sizeable impact on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010535633
This study evaluates the role market competition plays in determining inflation based on sector-level data from OECD … countries. In theory, trade openness can affect inflation through changes in market competitiveness and productivity … of market competition. This study shows that inflation decreases with greater market competitiveness even after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391719
and beyond the determinants of currency invoicing (i.e., inflation rate, inflation volatility, foreign exchange market … by a drop in inflation volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533991
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013037
—with excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405730
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406171
networks. Starting with country-level data, we find that both producer price and consumer price inflation rates move more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764299