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Management of the External Value of the Renminbi
Oksanen, Heikki - CESifo - 2015
Pegging the renminbi (RMB) to the US dollar since 1994 has characterised China’s exchange rate policy, under either a … suitable intermediary exchange rate regime for China as the risks of jumping to free floating are still great. Diversifying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272624
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The Undisclosed Renminbi Basket: Are the Markets Telling us something about where the Renminbi – US Dollar Exchange Rate is Going?
Funke, Michael; Gronwald, Marc - CESifo - 2008
On 21 July 2005 China adopted an undisclosed basket exchange rate regime. We formally assess and envisage the gradual … evolution of the renminbi over time. We utilize nonlinear dependencies in the renminbi exchange rate and describe the smooth … transition of the renminbi/U.S. dollar (RMB/USD) exchange rate using the family of time-varying autoregressive (TV-AR) models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765921
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Pegging the Renminbi to a Basket - Facts, Prospects and Consequences
Oksanen, Heikki - CESifo - 2010
On 19 June 2010 the Chinese authorities announced that the renminbi (RMB) was henceforth to be pegged to a currency … Seoul Summit on 11-12 November 2010, China committed to further reform the RMB exchange rate regime. We discuss here what a … genuine basket peg could mean for China, with the view that the weight for the EUR should obviously be significantly increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799734
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Carbon Content of Electricity Futures in Phase II of the EU ETS
Fell, Harrison; Hintermann, Beat; Vollebergh, Herman R. J. - CESifo - 2013
We estimate the relationship between electricity, fuel and carbon prices in Germany, France, the Netherlands, the Nord Pool market and Spain, using one-year futures for base and peak load prices for the years 2009-2012, corresponding to physical settlement during the second market phase of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877729
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Did US Consumers 'Save for a Rainy Day' Before the Great Recession?
Anundsen, André Kallåk; Nymoen, Ragnar - CESifo - 2015
The ‘saving for a rainy day’ hypothesis implies that households’ saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278934
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The Sustainability of Fiscal Policy in Italy: A Long-Term Perspective
Bartoletto, Silvana; Chiarini, Bruno; Marzano, Elisabetta - CESifo - 2012
debt and its ratio to GDP. Second, exploiting unit root analysis and cointegration, we test for the sustainability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548150
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Do Better Capitalized Banks Lend Less? Long-Run Panel Evidence from Germany
Buch, Claudia M.; Prieto, Esteban - CESifo - 2012
between the capitalization of the banking sector and bank loans using panel cointegration models. We study the evolution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552440
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On the Linkages between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Banking Crisis of 2007-2010
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Hunter, John; Ali, Faek Menla - CESifo - 2013
This study examines the nature of the linkages between stock market prices and exchange rates in six advanced economies, namely the US, the UK, Canada, Japan, the euro area, and Switzerland, using data on the banking crisis between 2007 and 2010. Bivariate GARCH-BEKK models are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636593
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Testing for Common Cyclical Features in Var Models with Cointegration
Hecq, Alain; Palm, Franz; Urbain, Jean-Pierre - CESifo - 2001
We consider VAR models for variables exhibiting cointegration and common cyclical features. While the presence of … cointegration reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, other types of common features lead to rank reduction of the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765794
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Estimation and Inference In Short Panel Vector Autoregressions with Unit Roots And Cointegration
Binder, Michael; Hsiao, Cheng; Pesaran, M. Hashem - CESifo - 2000
derive unit root and cointegration tests in panels with short time dimension; these tests have the attractive feature that … hypothesis and cointegration tests based on it perform well in small sample; this is in marked contrast to the small sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765796