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The paper advances the log-generalized gamma distribution as a suitable generator of conditional skewness. Based on the NYSE composite daily returns an asMA-asQGARCH model along with skewness dynamics is estimated. The results indicate a skewness that varies between sizeable negative skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765680
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000381
This paper puts the original Reinhart-Rogoff dataset, made public by Herndon et al. (2013), to a formal econometric test to pin down debt threshold endogenously. We show that the nonlinear relation from debt to growth is not very robust. Taken with a pinch of salt, our results suggest, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659189
nonlinear relationship between debt and growth is very sensitive to modelling choices. We also show that when nonlinearity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010631772
response analysis. Second, we examine the announcements effects on market volatility in a more detailed fashion by … adequately analyze both conditional mean and volatility effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877723
We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the impact of commodity price volatility on economic growth in a … panel of up to 158 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that commodity price volatility leads to a … result, we show that increased commodity price volatility leads to a statistically significant and quantitatively large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352227
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391720
experienced relatively low and non inclusive economic growth as well as high levels of macroeconomic volatility. Important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550241
, two main issues are investigated: the impact on international trade of exchange rate volatility and of currency … misalignments. On average, exchange rate volatility has a negative (even if not large) impact on trade flows. The extent of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555693
volatility channel, may lead one to erroneously conclude that there is no effect of resources on growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596595