Showing 1 - 10 of 15
The paper considers the Markov-Switching GARCH(1,1)-model with time-varying transition probabilities. It derives … empirical observation that estimated GARCH-parameters often sum to almost one. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406028
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of a high-frequency financial time series dataset. It focuses on temporal aggregation and other features of the data, and how they might affect the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643340
In this paper we specify a multi-factor long-memory process that enables us to estimate the fractional differencing parameters at each frequency separately, and adopt this framework to model quarterly prices in three European countries (France, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979398
This paper analyses the long memory properties of quarterly real output per capita in the US (1948Q1 – 2008Q3) using non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric techniques. The results vary substantially depending on the methodology employed. Evidence of mean reversion is obtained in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979424
This paper examines the long-run dynamics and the cyclical structure of various series related to the US stock market using fractional integration. We implement a procedure which enables one to consider unit roots with possibly fractional orders of integration both at the zero (long-run) and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094381
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008853858
Natural gas is likely to become increasingly important in the future. Understanding the stochastic underpinnings of natural gas prices will be critical, both to policy analysts and to market participants. To this end, we investigate the potential presence of jumps in natural gas spot prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877967
emissions trading market. Based on the application of a combined jump-GARCH model the behavior of EUA prices is characterized …. The jump-GARCH model explains the unsteady carbon price movement well and, moreover, shows that between 40 and 60 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948892
emissions trading market. Based on the application of a combined jump-GARCH model the behavior of EUA prices is characterized …. The jump-GARCH model explains the unsteady carbon price movement well and, moreover, shows that between 40 and 60 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544182
increased interest in recent research. Using a dummy-augmented GARCH model, we investigate whether the occurrence of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010697220