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Appropriate Fiscal Policy over the Business Cycle: Proper Stimulus Policies Can Work
Graves, Philip E. - CESifo - 2010
Fiscal policy has become quite controversial in the post-Keynesian era, the debate over the Obama stimulus package being a contentious recent example. Some pundits go so far as to take the position that macroeconomic theory has failed to meaningfully progress in terms of providing useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498997
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The Eurozone Needs Exit Rules
Fahrholz, Christian; Wójcik, Cezary - CESifo - 2012
This paper argues that the key issue for defining and solving the Eurozone’s (EZ) difficulties lies in readjusting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553271
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Has the Eurozone Become Less Fragile? Some Empirical Tests
Grauwe, Paul De; Ji, Yuemei - CESifo - 2015
periods of turmoil, financial markets have tended to impose strong programs of austerity on member countries of the Eurozone …In this paper we provide empirical evidence documenting the nature of the Eurozone’s fragility. We find that during …-induced austerity, as it occurs mainly during periods of recession, has the effect of reducing the power of the automatic stabilizers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122683
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Macroeconomic Fluctuations in a Stylized DSGE Model with Disequilibrium Dynamics
Aarle, Bas van - CESifo - 2012
This study develops a stylised DSGE model, that departs in one aspect: it replaces the general equilibrium approach by disequilibrium economics. In this way, richer macroeconomic adjustment dynamics result, as it is not necessary to assume that goods and labour markets continuously clear. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877936
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Sweden - from Macroeconomic Failure to Macroeconomic Success
Calmfors, Lars - CESifo - 2012
Major economic reforms have been carried through in Sweden during the last two decades. Most of the reforms have been made in response to long-standing rather than to acute problems. There has usually been a strong perception among economists, policy makers and the general public of the problems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544185
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Austerity, Growth and Inflation. Remarks on the Eurozone's Unresolved Competitiveness Problem
Sinn, Hans-Werner - CESifo - 2013
While the financial protection measures enacted by the ECB and the community of Eurozone members have calmed financial … markets, they have left the competitiveness problem of the Eurozone’s southern countries and France unresolved. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877720
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Sovereign Default Risk and Banks in a Monetary Union
Uhlig, Harald - CESifo - 2013
This paper seeks to understand the interplay between banks, bank regulation, sovereign default risk and central bank guarantees in a monetary union. I assume that banks can use sovereign bonds for repurchase agreements with a common central bank, and that their sovereign partially backs up any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877795
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Government Spending Shocks and the Multiplier: New Evidence from the U.S. Based on Natural Disasters
Yang, Weonho; Fidrmuc, Jan; Ghosh, Sugata - CESifo - 2012
The literature on estimating macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy requires suitable instruments to identify exogenous and unanticipated spending shocks. So far, the instrument of choice has been military build-ups. This instrument, however, largely limits the analysis to the US as few other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877863
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Hypnosis Before Wake-up Call?! The Revival of Sovereign Credit Risk Perception in the EMU-Crisis
Bordon, Ingo G.; Schmid, Kai D.; Schmidt, Michael - CESifo - 2014
This paper qualifies the view of pronounced overpricing of sovereign bonds for the so-called GIIPS countries during the financial crisis. We use annual data for 21 OECD countries from 1980 to 2012. As opposed to related studies, our data set allows us to contrast the pricing of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010888450
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Revisiting the Narrative Approach of Estimating Tax Multipliers
Hebous, Shafik; Zimmermann, Tom - CESifo - 2014
A number of recent studies regress a “narratively” identified measure of a macroeconomic shock directly on an outcome variable. In this note, we argue that this approach can be viewed as the reduced-form regression of an instrumental variable approach in which the narrative time series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948895