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and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic …Uncertainty has an almost negligible impact on project value in the economic standard model. I show that a … comprehensive evaluation of uncertainty and uncertainty attitude changes this picture fundamentally. The analysis relies on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645646
a richer risk attitude than that captured in the standard discounted expected utility model. I derive three models that … permit a more comprehensive risk evaluation. These preference representations differ regarding the consistency requirements … future utility when uncertainty increases over time. The more we know about the future welfare consequences of our (in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544183
Climate is a persistent asset, bar none: changes in climate-related stocks have consequences spanning over centuries or possibly millennia to the future. To reconcile the discounting of such far-distant impacts and realism of the shorter-term decisions, we consider hyperbolic time-preferences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010554825
World income grows fast without verifiable climate-change impacts on the economy. The growth spell can end if climate impacts turn real but this can take decades to learn. We develop a tractable stochastic climate-economy model with a hidden-state impact process to evaluate the contributions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747216
That climate policies are costly is evident and therefore often creates major fears. But the alternative (no action) also has a cost. Mitigation costs and damages incurred depend on what the climate policies are; moreover, they are substitutes. This brings climate policies naturally in the realm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010627557
scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on climate. Criticisms of this controversial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703424
and the pure time discount rate, there is distributional neutrality between the two periods. Otherwise, changes of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181267
Should public assets such as infrastructure, education, and the environment earn the same return as private investments? We consider if time-inconsistent decision-makers can gain from institutions that enforce cost-benefit rules on large projects that influence the economy as a whole. Long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833880
There are many reasons to suspect that benefit-cost analysis applied to environmental policies will result in policy decisions that will reject those environmental policies. The important question, of course, is whether those rejections are based on proper science. The present paper explores...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511597
The paper reexamines the welfare economics of intergenerational risk. Risk and its resolution over time are modeled as … preferences to (i) disentangle aversion to intergenerational inequality from aversion to risk, (ii) exhibit a preference for early … resolution of risk, (iii) show different discounting formulas depending on the magnitude of risk and on the timing of its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103396