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changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008872211
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013037
-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406171
This paper examines the degree of persistence of youth unemployment (total, male and female) in twenty-four countries …-memory processes respectively. The evidence suggests that persistence is particularly high in Japan and some EU countries such as Spain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583640
legislation, high union density, centralised wage setting and high inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094215
perform significantly better in ES estimation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010586077
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high … lower cost in capital reserves. In ES estimation the hybrid model yields the smallest error statistics surpassing even the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572519
, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest that inflation in France and Italy is nonstationary. However, while for the … exclusively from the long-run or zero frequency. In the UK, inflation seems to be stationary with a component of long memory at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979398
This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008914282
This paper examines the relationship between US disposable personal income (DPI) and house price index (HPI) during the last twenty years applying fractional integration and long-range dependence techniques to monthly data from January 1991 to July 2010. The empirical findings indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671722