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quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand … relations are specified, estimated and tested. Then, employing error correction models, measures of excess money are derived … money is generally a better predictor than the quantity of money. Taking into account also the most (available) recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533982
This study approaches the Quantity Theory of Money at a conceptual level, asking how it can be most reasonably …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534035
data. The motivation for signalling is consistent with wanting to control inflation expectations, but not career concerns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010540726
We introduce an approach for the empirical study of the quantity theory of money (QTM) that is novel both with respect … directly on the relationship between the rate of change of the money stock and inflation. We believe that this is an inferior … the QTM holds for low inflation as well as for high inflation. We discuss how our findings relate to monetarism generally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653372
sector inflation expectations. In contrast, opaque central banks limit their stabilization efforts to avoid disturbing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877697
Using voting data from the Bank of England, we show that different individual assessments of the economy strongly influence votes after controlling for individual policy preferences. We estimate that internal members form more precise assessments than externals and are also more hawkish, though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877935
In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272622
. While who gets the extra money becomes irrelevant, the rate of growth of money supply keeps its bite. A second lesson is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645639
This paper investigates the impact of international shocks – interest rate, commodity price and industrial production shocks – on key macroeconomic variables in ten Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries by using near-VAR models and monthly data from the early 1990s to 2009. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596588
Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) with a new sign restriction framework, we study the changing effectiveness of the Bank of Japan’s Quantitative Easing policies over time. We analyse the Zero-Interest Rate Policy from 1999 to 2000, the Quantitative Easing Policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010812488