Showing 1 - 10 of 81
This paper reports the results of a survey among private sector economists about credibility and transparency of … Survey to answer questions on the importance and determinants of credibility. The results of both surveys are very comparable …. Credibility is considered to be important to attain price stability at low cost, while the best ways to earn credibility are a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094291
We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511600
maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters in the model, we use an expectation maximization algorithm based on the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405735
Kalman-filtering-based maximum-likelihood estimation method. Following the method, we estimate monthly and quarterly VAR(2 … GDP forecasts. The Kalman filter is used to compute the likelihood in estimation and to produce forecasts. Generally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406430
Quarterly GDP figures usually are published with a delay of some weeks. A common way to generate GDP series of higher frequency, i.e. to nowcast GDP, is to use available indicators to calculate a single index by means of a common factor derived from a dynamic factor model (DFM). This paper deals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734329
This paper shows why a majority of legislators may vote for a policy that benefits a firm but harms all legislators. The firm may induce legislators to support the policy by suggesting that it is more likely to invest in a district whose voters or representative support the policy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544187
This paper analyzes whether nation-state governments can increase their credibility by becoming members of … international organizations. Credibility is an important asset because it determines the real interest rate and is expected to have … organizations can improve the credibility of nation-state governments. This hypothesis is tested by introducing three new indicators …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181427
estimation of Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). While we cannot reject the hypothesis that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010627572
The paper aims at assessing technological regimes in the context of the Brazilian manufacturing industry along the 2000-2005 period. The industries were classified in terms of SM-I and SM-II technological regimes by means of multivariate statistical methods based on variable approximating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608712
We employ a comprehensive matched employer-employee data set for Brazil to analyze wage determinants and compare … selectivity of Brazilian workers into formal employment. The links between firm performance and wage components in Brazil resemble …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766015