Showing 1 - 10 of 162
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013037
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406171
This brief exposition suggests that the Federal Reserve System temporarily guarantee a lower bound on stock prices in order to escape the current combination of liquidity trap and credit crunch. It shortly discusses reasons for this measure, consequences, and some alternatives. It is meant as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765775
This study approaches the Quantity Theory of Money at a conceptual level, asking how it can be most reasonably … find evidence of its linchpin prediction that is not limited to periods of high inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534035
individuals use simple rules of thumb (heuristics) to forecast the future inflation and output gap. We compare this model with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405712
found to help rationalizing the hump-shaped response of inflation, without resorting to the counterfactual assumption of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572477
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833938
compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of … the crisis, predicting a decade of stagnation for the south and inflation for the north. Keynesian demand policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877720
import prices only to a small extent, it may have a substantial impact on inflation, as it exerts a sizeable impact on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010535633
countries. In theory, trade openness can affect inflation through changes in market competitiveness and productivity …This study evaluates the role market competition plays in determining inflation based on sector-level data from OECD … of market competition. This study shows that inflation decreases with greater market competitiveness even after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391719