quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand …. Using recursive estimates, indicator properties of monetary aggregates for inflation are assessed for the period from 2000 … the one for M2 is strongly influenced by these three observations. While in both cases forecasts for 2010 show inflation …

find evidence of its linchpin prediction that is not limited to periods of high inflation. …

interaction of the two elements leads to an inflation bias that is independent of the standard time-inconsistency bias. Secondly … correlated with unemployment, but not with inflation in the respective countries. …

In this note, we argue that the Eurozone needs an institutional exit mechanism to enhance Eurozone stability, and … incentives for intra-Eurozone capital flight and maintaining Eurozone price stability. Our modifications eliminate moral hazard …

This study analyses the impact of economic catching-up on annual inflation rates in the European Union with a special … Balassa-Samuelson effect is not an important driver of inflation rates. By contrast, we find that the initial price level and … regulated prices strongly affect inflation outcomes in a nonlinear manner and that the extension of Engel’s Law may hold during …

This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation … the fraction of borrowers and to a lesser extent the loan-to-value ratio - generate inflation differentials that are … characteristics of financial markets should be seen as a possible alternative explanation for the observable inflation dispersion in …

rate policy helps to reconcile the inflation and output persistence with empirical observations for the US economy. We show … findings for the inflation inertia in a model with capital adjustment costs and variable capacity utilization, the output …

-shaped relation between the membership size of MPCs and inflation; our results suggest that the lowest level of inflation is reached … at MPCs with about seven to ten members. Similar results are obtained for other measures, such as inflation variability …