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This paper addresses difficulties in modelling exchange rates in South Africa. Real exchange rate models of earlier research seem to be sensitive to the sample period considered, alternative variable definition, data frequency and estimation methods. Alternative exchange rate models proposed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010554826
news and communication along with the estimated exchange rate misalignment on exchange rate as well as its volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010668471
We build a simple theoretical model to understand why developing and transition economies have increasingly applied anti-dumping laws. To that end, we investigate the strategic incentives of oligopolistic exporting firms to undertake dumping in these economies. We show that dumping may be due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765640
rate’s volatility are dominated by the other determinants. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765679
China keeps its exchange rate tightly fixed to the dollar. Its productivity growth and trade surplus have been high, and it continues to accumulate large dollar reserves. Many observers take this as evidence that the renminbi is undervalued and should be appreciated to reduce the Chinese trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765836
There is an increasing endorsement for the yen’s depreciation as a means to fight the ongoing deflation in Japan. The idea of generating inflation via depreciation relies on the assumption that exporters pass-through most of the effect of the exchange rate changes to the Japanese importers and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766039
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000381
increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for the next minutes but that intervention days show a lower degree of … volatility (and spread) than non-intervention days. We also show for intraday data that the price impact of interbank order flow … position taking, the targeted exchange rate range holds and volatility, spread and price impact go down. Overall, the credible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181265
puzzles of exchange rates: excessive volatility, fat tails, volatility clustering, and disconnection from the fundamentals. In … addition, the target zone regime replicates a reduced nominal volatility for the same level of fundamental volatility as in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405760
We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406025