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We introduce an approach for the empirical study of the quantity theory of money (QTM) that is novel both with respect to the specific steps taken as well as the general methodology employed. Empirical studies of the QTM have focused directly on the relationship between the rate of change of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653372
This paper seeks to understand the interplay between banks, bank regulation, sovereign default risk and central bank guarantees in a monetary union. I assume that banks can use sovereign bonds for repurchase agreements with a common central bank, and that their sovereign partially backs up any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877795
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments’ popularity, predict financial crises above and … that would help prevent potential crises. We provide evidence of the relevance of this reputation mechanism. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010888458
This paper surveys recent advances in the monetary transmission mechanism (MTM). In particular, while laying out the functioning of the separate channels in the MTM, special attention is paid to exploring possible interrelations between different channels through which they may amplify or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094342
Using post-1995 Japanese data we propose a theory-based sign-restriction SVAR approach to identify monetary policy shocks when the economy is at the zero-lower bound. The identifying restrictions accord with predictions of corresponding DSGE models. Our results show that while a quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147746
institutions precede crises and, interestingly, positive reforms occur thereafter. Strong institutions shorten the duration of … crises, ethnic cleavages do the reverse. However, the negative effects of ethnic cleavages are not insurmountable: an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010736742
The paper analyzes a very stylized model of crises and demonstrates how the degree of strategic complementarity in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144883
Using Swiss data from 1983 to 2008, this paper investigates whether growth rates of the different measures of the quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand relations are specified, estimated and tested. Then,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533982
This study approaches the Quantity Theory of Money at a conceptual level, asking how it can be most reasonably interpreted and quantitatively assessed. The resulting approach is straightforward. Unlike studies relying on other methods we find evidence of its linchpin prediction that is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534035
have tended to exacerbate the effects of private sector deleveraging after crises, leading to more prolonged periods of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877944