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curve is decreasing if the representative agent is prudent (<i>u'''</i>> 0), because of the increased risk that it yields … (<i>u''''</i>< 0), because the change in downside risk (or skweness) that it generates. Finally, using these theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094448
How should one evaluate investment projects whose CCAPM betas are uncertain? This question is particularly crucial for projects yielding long-lasting impacts on the economy, as is the case for example for many green investments. We define the notion of a certainty equivalent beta. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877682
increasing term structure for the risk premium. It also implies that, under the assumption that the cumulants of the distribution … investment is larger than half of relative risk aversion. Another important consequence of parametric uncertainty is that the … risk premium is not proportional to the beta of the investment. We apply these general results to the case of an uncertain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603851
This paper analyses the determinants and effects of ECB interventions in times of severe distress. We focus on the Greek government bond market in mid-2010 and use a unique new dataset to show, for the first time, what type of bonds the ECB bought. We then explore the short-term effects of ECB...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010756163
and probabilities are adjusted for risk, the two approaches are identical. What we would wish a reader to take away from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534029
In this paper we re-investigate the comovements of interest rates in the G7-countries. We propose a structured modus operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration, serial correlation common feature and codependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405925
De Paoli, Scott, and Weeken [2010, Asset pricing implications of a New Keynesian model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34, 2056-73] study equity and bonds prices in a New Keynesian model with sticky nominal prices. This note argues that their model generates a behavior of the labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599728
Restrictions on the risk-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by … econometric framework for estimation of affine Gaussian DTSMs under restrictions on risk prices, which addresses the issues of a … the U.S. Treasury yield curve. The data strongly favor tight restrictions on risk pricing: only level risk is priced, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011200050
Previous macro-finance term structure models (MTSMs) imply that macroeconomic state variables are spanned by (i.e., perfectly correlated with) model-implied bond yields. However, this theoretical implication appears inconsistent with regressions showing that much macroeconomic variation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155372
spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor is extracted by imposing a single factor structure on the one …-sectional fit of the yield curve. Second, we find that financial shocks, either in the form of liquidity or risk premium shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572472