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Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets
Bubák, Vít; Kocenda, Evžen; Zikes, Filip - CESifo - 2010
This paper studies the dynamics of volatility transmission between Central European currencies and euro/dollar foreign … exchange using model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility based on intraday data. We formulate a flexible yet … parsimonious parametric model in which the daily realized volatility of a given exchange rate depends both on its own lags as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572532
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The Offshore Renminbi Exchange Rate: Microstructure and Links to the Onshore Market
Cheung, Yin-Wong; Rime, Dagfinn - CESifo - 2014
The offshore renminbi (CNH) exchange rate is the exchange rate of the Chinese currency transacted outside China. We study the CNH exchange rate dynamics and its links with onshore exchange rates. Using a specialized microstructure dataset, we find that CNH is significantly affected by its order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786745
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High-Frequency Analysis of Foreign Exchange Interventions: What do we learn?
Menkhoff, Lukas - CESifo - 2008
direction. Interventions increase volatility in the short run as they are regarded as information; but they can reduce … volatility overall. Ways of transmission may reach beyond the signaling channel and also include theportfolio balance and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765791
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Testing Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Using LIBOR
Omer, Muhammad; Haan, Jakob de; Scholtens, Bert - CESifo - 2012
We test Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) using LIBOR interest rates for a wide range of maturities. In contrast to other markets, LIBOR markets have minimal frictions which could lead to rejecting UIP. Using panel unit root test suggested by Palm, Smeekes, and Urbain (2010) and cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552442
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Systematic Consumption Risk in Currency Returns
Hoffmann, Mathias; Suter, Rahel - CESifo - 2013
We sort currencies by countries’ consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries experiencing consumption booms have higher Sharpe ratios than those of countries going through a consumption-based recession. A carry strategy that goes short in countries that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667417
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Exchange Rate Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists
Dick, Christian D.; Menkhoff, Lukas - CESifo - 2013
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals’ expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636592
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On the Linkages between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Banking Crisis of 2007-2010
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Hunter, John; Ali, Faek Menla - CESifo - 2013
This study examines the nature of the linkages between stock market prices and exchange rates in six advanced economies, namely the US, the UK, Canada, Japan, the euro area, and Switzerland, using data on the banking crisis between 2007 and 2010. Bivariate GARCH-BEKK models are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636593
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Transatlantic Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction
Aarle, Bas van; Garretsen, Harry; Huart, Florence - CESifo - 2003
This paper studies the design, effects and interactions of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro-area and between the euro-area and the non euro-area. To do so, a stylized three-country model of monetary and fiscal policy rules is constructed. It is analyzed how monetary and fiscal rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765866
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Japanese Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: A Simultaneous Equations Approach Using Realized Volatility
Hillebrand, Eric; Schnabl, Gunther; Ulu, Yasemin - CESifo - 2006
We use realized volatility to study the influence of central bank interventions on the yen/dollar exchange rate …. Realized volatility is a technical innovation that allows specifying a system of equations for returns, realized volatility … increase in volatility associated with interventions. During the period 1999 through 2004, the estimations are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181300
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'Large' vs. 'Small' Players: A Closer Look at the Dynamics of Speculative Attacks
Bjønnes, Geir H.; Holden, Steinar; Rime, Dagfinn; … - CESifo - 2009
What is the role of “large players” like hedge funds and other highly leveraged institutions in speculative attacks? In recent theoretical work, large players may induce an attack by an early move, providing information to smaller agents. In contrast, many observers argue that large players...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181546