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Is the Political Business Cycle for Real?

Blomberg, S. Brock; Hess, Gregory D. - CESifo - 2001

This paper constructs and examines a macroeconomic model which combines features from both real and political business cycle models. We augment a standard real business cycle tax model by allowing for varying levels of government partisanship and competence in order to replicate two important...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416501

The Costs of Organized Violence: A Review of the Evidence

Skaperdas, Stergios - CESifo - 2009

I critically review recent studies that estimate those costs of violence and conflict that can emerge among organized … of organized conflict and violence are aggregated. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013055

Suicide Terrorism and the Weakest Link

Arce, Daniel G.; Dan Kovenock J.; Roberson, Brian - CESifo - 2009

In this paper we examine a model of terrorism which focuses on the tradeoffs facing a terrorist organization that has the ability to utilize either or both suicide and conventional terrorism tactics. The terrorist organization’s objective is to successfully attack at least one target. Success...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013950

Extremism Drives Out Moderation

Klose, Bettina; Dan Kovenock J. - CESifo - 2012

, we show that substituting the auction contest success function for the lottery contest success function in a conflict may … radicals. Our results demonstrate the importance of the choice of the institutions of conflict, as modeled by the contest …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547898

Mobility and Conflict

Bhattacharya, Sourav; Deb, Joyee; Kundu, Tapas - CESifo - 2012

We study the role of inter-group differences in the emergence of conflict. In our setting, two groups compete for the …, that the opposition can either accept, or reject and wage conflict. Expropriating a large share of resources increases … of conflict. In equilibrium, allocations are non-monotonic in the cost of mobility. Moreover, limited commitment with …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009416114

The Economics of Political Borders

Spolaore, Enrico - CESifo - 2012

as democratic outcomes, borders in a world of rent-seeking Leviathans, and borders as outcomes of conflict and wars …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010554829

Food Prices and Political Instability

Arezki, Rabah; Brückner, Markus - CESifo - 2011

We examine the effects that variations in the international food prices have on democracy and intra-state conflict … increase in the incidence of anti-government demonstrations, riots, and civil conflict. In the High Income Countries variations …-state conflict. Our empirical results point to a significant externality of variations in international food prices on Low Income …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274520

War and Natural Resource Exploitation

Ploeg, Frederick Van der; Rohner, Dominic - CESifo - 2010

Although the relationship between natural resources and civil war has received much attention, little is known about the underlying mechanisms. Controversies and contradictions in the stylized facts persist because resource extraction is treated as exogenous while in reality fighting affects...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727286

Alliances in the Shadow of Conflict

Ke, Changxia; Konrad, Kai A.; Morath, Florian - CESifo - 2012

conflict and more intense fighting. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603853

Resource Rents, Power, and Political Stability

Bjorvatn, Kjetil; Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza - CESifo - 2014

We study the association between resource rents and political stability, highlighting the importance of the distribution of political power as a mediating factor. We present a simple theoretical model showing that increased rents are likely to be positively associated with the stability of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010756166