Showing 1 - 10 of 165
In this paper we present simulations of economic performance of the Polish economy based on a quarterly econometric model. The model consists of 22 stochastic equations, which link the financial market with the real economy. The purpose of the research is to present effects of changes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766248
In the paper we analyze determinants of the capital market beta risk in Poland in the monthly period 1996-2002. The beta risk is measured as a time-varying parameter estimated in a regression of the Warsaw stock indexes (WIG and WIG20 separately) on major foreign stock market indexes (DJIA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005249463
We study the association between resource rents and political stability, highlighting the importance of the distribution of political power as a mediating factor. We present a simple theoretical model showing that increased rents are likely to be positively associated with the stability of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010756166
This paper studies the performance of China’s exports during the 2008—2009 financial crisis. It focuses on the speed at … which China’s exports were hit by this downturn. Product-country monthly exports data is utilized. It is found that GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320783
In this paper we focus on the rapidly deepening bilateral India-China economic relationship. Each is deeply integrating … into the global economy through trade and FDI inflows, China is seen as primarily manufacturing-lead growth with India as … China, and the two have to be considered a joint global presence. India and China are thus viewed in the literature in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671685
We document key features of the deepening economic relationship between Brazil and China. This is evident from sharply … international fora. Data presented show bilateral trade between Brazil and China surging after 2001 and China is now Brazil … rates suggest that China will become the dominant trade partner for Brazil surprisingly soon. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833874
How do population ageing shocks affect the long-run macroeconomic performance of an economy? To answer this question we build a general equilibrium overlapping generations model of a closed economy featuring endogenous factor prices. Finitely-lived individuals are endowed with perfect foresight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877922
In this paper we conduct a quantitative analysis of a number of stylized educational loan systems. We develop a stochastic general equilibrium model of a closed economy with a competitive firm sector and a government that levies taxes and administers educational loans. Individuals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948864
We study the effects of an annuity market imperfection on individual agents’ labour supply and retirement decisions and on the macroeconomic growth rate in an overlapping generations model with endogenous growth. We model imperfect annuities by introducing a load factor on the interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013054
We develop a behavioral macroeconomic model in which agents use simple but biased rules to forecast future output and inflation. This model generates endogenous waves of optimism and pessimism (“Animal Spirits”) that are generated by the correlation of biased beliefs. We contrast the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765824