This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …

This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …

changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate …

We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that … inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two … international shock that drives national inflation uncertainty and which is closely related to oil and commodity price uncertainty …

and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country’s actual short …

restrictions which are not rejected by the data - the cost channel helps to generate an initial rise of inflation after a monetary …

of the relation between market power and inflation. We examine this relation for individual firms in eleven U … generate quantitative evidence on the responsiveness of market power to inflation. We find that inflation usually has a …

individuals use simple rules of thumb (heuristics) to forecast the future inflation and output gap. We compare this model with the …