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Hidden Skewness: On the Difficulty of Multiplicative Compounding under Random Shocks

Ensthaler, Ludwig; Nottmeyer, Olga; Weizsäcker, Georg; … - CESifo - 2014

Multiplicative growth processes that are subject to random shocks often have a skewed distribution of outcomes. In a number of incentivized laboratory experiments we show that a large majority of participants either strongly underestimate skewness or ignore it completely. Participants...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764292

Spillovers from Systemic Bank Defaults

Mink, Mark; Haan, Jakob de - CESifo - 2014

We examine to what extent banks’ stock market values during the 2007-2012 financial crisis were driven by increases in the default risk of banks designated as globally systemically important by the Financial Stability Board. We find that bank market values hardly respond to changes in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877758

The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - CESifo - 2014

course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of mortgage lending to households. Household debt to asset ratios have …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948836

Credit Market Competition and Liquidity Crises

Carletti, Elena; Leonello, Agnese - CESifo - 2014

We develop a model where banks invest in reserves and loans, and face aggregate liquidity shocks. Banks with liquidity shortage sell loans on the interbank market. Two equilibria emerge. In the no default equilibrium, all banks hold enough reserves and remain solvent. In the mixed equilibrium,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743450

Banking Crisis Resolution Policy - Lessons from Recent Experience - which elements are needed for robust and efficient crisis resolution?

Mayes, David G. - CESifo - 2009

The current financial crisis has sparked intense debate about how weak banks should be resolved. Despite international efforts to coordinate and converge on such policies, national policy advice and resolution practices differ. The resolution methods adopted in the Nordic banking crises in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583712

I Spy with my Little Eye... a Banking Crisis - Early Warnings and Incentive Schemes in Banks

Hakenes, Hendrik; Schlegel, Friederike - CESifo - 2014

The severity and depth of the recent financial crisis hit many by surprise. Despite warning signs, the financial system seems to have been unable to aggregate existing information. As the events of Fall 2008 showed, many investors were caught off guard by the large number of banks collapsing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103403

Contagion in Financial Networks: A Threat Index

Demange, Gabrielle - CESifo - 2015

Interbank claims are a concern to regulators as they might facilitate the dissemination of defaults and generate spill-over effects. Building on a simple model, this paper introduces a measure of the spill-over effects that a bank generates when it defaults. The measure is based on an explicit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257674

The Effect of Awareness and Incentives on Tax Evasion

Alstadsæter, Annette; Jacob, Martin - CESifo - 2013

We examine the role of tax incentives, tax awareness, and complexity in tax evasion. We observe a specific type of tax evasion among business owners in Swedish administrative panel data, after the tax authority has approved all tax returns. For the period 2006–2009, approximately 5% of tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877805

Adults' Financial Literacy and Households' Financial Assets: The Role of Banks Information Policies

Fort, Margherita; Manaresi, Francesco; Trucchi, Serena - CESifo - 2014

We investigate the role of banks information policies in fostering the accumulation of financial knowledge. In Italy, banks belonging to the PattiChiari Consortium implement policies aimed at increasing transparency and procedural simplification, without offering services at lower cost with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948806

Homeownership and Entrepreneurship: The Role of Mortgage Debt and Commitment

Bracke, Philippe; Hilber, Christian; Silva, Olmo - CESifo - 2014

We study the link between homeownership, mortgage debt, and entrepreneurship using a model of occupational choice and … housing tenure where homeowners commit to mortgage payments. Our model predicts that, as long as mortgage rates exceed the … rate of interest on liquid wealth: (i) mortgage debt, by amplifying risk aversion, diminishes the likelihood that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948829

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