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Business Decision-Making under Uncertainty: Evidence from Employment and Number of Businesses
Ghosal, Vivek; Ye, Yang - CESifo - 2013
Using the framework provided by the asymmetric-information and real-options theories, we examine the impact of uncertainty on firms’ decisions and market outcomes. We construct alternative measures of uncertainty based on survey of professional forecasters and our estimation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010674454
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Uncertainty and the Employment Dynamics of Small and Large Businesses
Ghosal, Vivek; Ye, Yang - CESifo - 2014
We examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics. Alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters, and regression-based forecasting models for GDP growth, inflation, S&P500 stock price index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960647
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A Critique of the Literature on the US Financial Debt Crisis
Stein, Jerome L. - CESifo - 2010
A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534053
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Application of Stochastic Optimal Control to Financial Market Debt Crises
Stein, Jerome L. - CESifo - 2009
This interdisciplinary paper explains how mathematical techniques of stochastic optimal control can be applied to the recent subprime mortgage crisis. Why did the financial markets fail to anticipate the recent debt crisis, despite the large literature in mathematical finance concerning optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094473
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Price Discovery and Trade Fragmentation in a Multi-Market Environment: Evidence from the MTS System
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro - CESifo - 2011
This paper proposes new metrics for the process of price discovery on the main electronic trading platform for euro-denominated government securities. Analysing price data on daily transactions for 107 bonds over a period of twenty-seven months, we find a greater degree of price leadership of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009221548
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The Price of Liquidity: Bank Characteristics and Market Conditions
Fecht, Falko; Nyborg, Kjell G.; Rocholl, Jörg - CESifo - 2009
We study differences in the price paid for liquidity across banks using price data at the individual bank level. Unique … to gauge the extent to which a bank is short or long liquidity. We find that the price a bank pays for liquidity depends … on the liquidity positions of other banks, as well as its own. There is evidence that liquidity squeezes occasionally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051588
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Quoted Spreads and Trade Imbalance Dynamics in the European Treasury Bond Market
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro; … - CESifo - 2010
characteristics, stock market volatility, macroeconomic releases and liquidity management operations of the monetary authorities. … documents the existence of an asymmetric relationship between market liquidity and trading imbalances: when quoted spreads rise … (fall) and liquidity falls (increases) buy (sell) orders tend to prevail. Risk-averse market-makers, with inventory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833903
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Testing for Convergence in Stock Markets: A Non-Linear Factor Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Erdogan, Burcu; Kuzin, Vladimir - CESifo - 2009
This paper applies the Phillips and Sul (2007) method to test for convergence in stock returns to an extensive dataset including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as the US over the period 1973-2008. We carry out the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572486
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Asymmetry in Volatility: A Comparison of Developed and Transition Stock Markets
Wdowinski, Piotr; Malecka, Marta - CESifo - 2010
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583696
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Price Discrimination in Input Markets: Quantity Discounts and Private Information
Herweg, Fabian; Müller, Daniel - CESifo - 2013
We consider a monopolistic supplier’s optimal choice of wholesale tariffs when downstream firms are privately informed about their retail costs. Under discriminatory pricing, downstream firms that differ in their ex ante distribution of retail costs are offered different tariffs. Under uniform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877898