Showing 1 - 10 of 106
A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price … stochastic optimal control (SOC)/dynamic risk management is a much more effective approach to determine the optimal degree of … leverage, the optimum and excessive risk and the probability of a debt crisis. The theoretically founded early warning signals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534053
This interdisciplinary paper explains how mathematical techniques of stochastic optimal control can be applied to the recent subprime mortgage crisis. Why did the financial markets fail to anticipate the recent debt crisis, despite the large literature in mathematical finance concerning optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094473
In a standard financial market model with asymmetric information with a finite number N of risk-averse informed traders … particularly good when the informationally adjusted risk bearing capacity of traders is not very large. This is not the case if … informed traders are close to risk neutral. Both equilibria converge to the competitive equilibrium of an idealized limit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405996
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model with long-term investors. We argue that the fact that prices can score worse or better than consensus opinion in predicting the fundamentals is a product of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583648
We consider a two-period market with persistent liquidity trading and risk averse privately informed investors who have … equilibria which can be ranked in terms of liquidity, volatility, and informational efficiency. We establish the limits of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008872222
The real option theory provides a useful tool to evaluate an R&D investment under uncertainty because, unlike the NPV (Net Present Value), it considers the managerial flexibility that may be expand the investment opportunity value. However, most R&D investment projects are open to competing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013067
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534005
during the period of the financial crisis. In a Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis, finally, we further illustrate the advantages … confidence levels while other models fail to specify the risk correctly. This analysis shows that ignoring the actual nature of … dependence might lead to an underestimation of the risk for portfolios combining EUAs with commodities or equity investments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008914281
Building on a model of the interaction of risk-averse firms that compete in forward and spot markets, we develop an … empirical strategy to test whether oligopolistic firms use forward contracts for strategic motives, for risk-hedging, or for … both. An increase in the number of players weakens the incentives to sell forward for risk-hedging reasons. However, if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799744
allocations and discuss implications for credit risk modeling. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877793