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response analysis. Second, we examine the announcements effects on market volatility in a more detailed fashion by … adequately analyze both conditional mean and volatility effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877723
We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the impact of commodity price volatility on economic growth in a … panel of up to 158 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that commodity price volatility leads to a … result, we show that increased commodity price volatility leads to a statistically significant and quantitatively large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352227
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391720
experienced relatively low and non inclusive economic growth as well as high levels of macroeconomic volatility. Important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550241
, two main issues are investigated: the impact on international trade of exchange rate volatility and of currency … misalignments. On average, exchange rate volatility has a negative (even if not large) impact on trade flows. The extent of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555693
volatility channel, may lead one to erroneously conclude that there is no effect of resources on growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596595
-run demand shocks. In this setup, the volatility of a firm’s exports depends not only on the diversification of its destination … destinations makes the firm more likely to export occasionally to some markets, thereby raising volatility. These results cast … doubt on the commonly held belief that diversification must decrease volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010812496
Are natural resources a “curse” or a “blessing”? The empirical evidence suggests either outcome is possible. The paper surveys a variety of hypotheses and supporting evidence for why some countries benefit and others lose from the presence of natural resources. These include that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534046
The volatility of unanticipated output growth in income per capita is detrimental to long-run development, controlling …. This effect is significant and robust over a wide range of specifications. We unravel the effects of volatility by opening … dependence, physical and institutional barriers to trade and associated policy shocks increase volatility sharply and harm growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000394
This paper applies volatility measures and VAR spectral analytic techniques to give a thorough description of the ….The central findings are summarized with regard to (i) national product share, contribution-to-variance and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094339