Showing 1 - 10 of 66
The paper develops an axiomatic framework for rational decision making. The von Neumann-Morgenstern axioms give rise to a richer risk attitude than that captured in the standard discounted expected utility model. I derive three models that permit a more comprehensive risk evaluation. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010544183
In this paper we analyze a large sample of individual responses to six lottery questions. We derive a simultaneous estimate of risk aversion and the time preference discount rate per individual. This can be done because the consumption of a large prize is smoothed over a larger time period. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416458
candidate is expectations: what people expect could affect how they feel about what actually occurs. In a real-effort experiment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051581
To accurately predict behavior economists need reliable measures of individual time preferences and attitudes toward risk and typically need to assume stability of these characteristics over time and across decision domains. We test the reliability of two choice tasks for eliciting discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681226
In the expected-utility theory of the monetary value of a statistical life, the so-called “dead-anyway” effect discovered by Pratt and Zeckhauser (1996) asserts that an individuals' willingness to pay (WTP) for small reductions in mortality risk increases with the initial level of risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405707
natural experiment to estimate that the children from these (smaller) cohorts are 40 percent more likely to commit crimes. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877799
This paper exploits a large dataset of replications of the Holt and Laury (2002) risk elicitation task to study a … distance between the consensus and the data gathered with this elicitation task allows us to test directly for the presence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711138
Common integrated assessment models produce the counterintuitive result that higher risk aversion does not lead to stronger near-term abatement. This paper re-examines this result with a DICE model that is fully coupled with a thermohaline circulation model. It also features Epstein-Zin utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886106
Uncertainty has an almost negligible impact on project value in the economic standard model. I show that a comprehensive evaluation of uncertainty and uncertainty attitude changes this picture fundamentally. The analysis relies on the discount rate, which is the crucial determinant in balancing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645646
We assess whether public sector employees have a stronger inclination to serve others and are more risk averse than employees in the private sector. A unique feature of our study is that we use revealed rather than stated preferences data. Respondents of a large-scale survey were offered a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010554828