Showing 1 - 10 of 52
Do survey data on inflation expectations contain useful information for estimating macroeconomic models? I address this … restriction and helps to determine the forecasting model for inflation that agents use under learning. My results reveal that the … inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278136
variables, should not affect agents’ expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670794
Using daily data on inflation-indexed bonds, we find evidence of a negative relationship between ECB communication … changes in euro area break-even inflation. However, this result is only found for the second half of 2005. At that time, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094469
, we follow Roberts (1997) and Adam and Padula (2003) and use direct measures of inflation expectations. The data source is … the Ifo World Economic Survey, which quarterly polls economic experts about their expected future development of inflation … turns out to more relevant for most countries in our sample. (ii) The use of survey data for inflation expectations yields a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181411
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals’ expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636592
compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of … the crisis, predicting a decade of stagnation for the south and inflation for the north. Keynesian demand policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877720
repression in domestic interest rates—to avoid an avalanche of foreign capital inflows that would threaten inflation and asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877868
import prices only to a small extent, it may have a substantial impact on inflation, as it exerts a sizeable impact on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010535633
economy. While about half of all studies for the United States find a significant effect of unemployment and inflation on … choice of the sample period is of crucial importance. While in the very long run we find unemployment, inflation and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010535634
The sovereign debt crisis has made it clear that central banking is more than keeping inflation low. Central banks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294102