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We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that … inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two … international shock that drives national inflation uncertainty and which is closely related to oil and commodity price uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877745
This paper provides a model that can account for the almost uniform staggering of wage contracts in some countries as well as for the markedly nonuniform staggering in others. In the model, short and long contracts as well as long contracts concluded in different periods are strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596597
and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country’s actual short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094297
restrictions which are not rejected by the data - the cost channel helps to generate an initial rise of inflation after a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094397
of the relation between market power and inflation. We examine this relation for individual firms in eleven U ….S. industries. Our econometric framework exploits restrictions from dynamic theory and information from financial markets to … generate quantitative evidence on the responsiveness of market power to inflation. We find that inflation usually has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094449
individuals use simple rules of thumb (heuristics) to forecast the future inflation and output gap. We compare this model with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405712
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575442
found to help rationalizing the hump-shaped response of inflation, without resorting to the counterfactual assumption of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572477
We compare the economic consequences of several types of oil shocks across a set of industrialized countries that are structurally very diverse with respect to the role of oil and other forms of energy in their economy. We find considerably different effects across countries, which crucially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833921
Theory and evidence suggest that in an environment of well-anchored expectations, temporary news or shocks to economic … variables, should not affect agents’ expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670794