For a sample of 83 financial institutions during 2003–2011, this paper attempts to answer three questions: first, what is the evolution of banks’ stock price exposure to country-level and global risk factors as approximated by equity indices; second, which bank-specific characteristics...

This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results suggest that U.S. financial shocks reverberate around the world much more strongly...

We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and...

This staff report on People’s Republic of China 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights macroeconomic developments and outlook. China has maintained robust growth since the global crisis, but the heavy reliance on credit and investment to sustain activity is raising vulnerabilities. The...

This paper assesses the implications of Chinese capital account liberalization for capital flows. Stylized facts from capital account liberalization in advanced and large emerging market economies illustrate that capital account liberalization has historically generated large gross capital in-...

Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sector’s extensive industrial and financial linkages make it a special type of economic activity, especially where the credit creation process relies primarily on collateral, like...

Nachhaltige Entwicklung ist zu einem verankerten Leitbild in Politik, Wirtschaft, Wissenschaft und Öffentlichkeit geworden, welches die Diskussionen über die künftige Entwicklung der Menschheit bestimmt. Es geht im Kern um die Suche nach einem gerechten Zivilisations- und Wirtschaftsmodell,...

Der ehemalige Investmentbanker und Wissenschaftsautor war mit seinen Büchern über die internationale Finanzkrise erfolgreich. Nun beschäftigt er sich mit den beiden renommierten Psychologen Daniel Kahneman und Amos Tversky. Beide waren befreundet, aber auch Konkurrenten, und beide konnten...