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contributions to the literature. First, an asymptotic theory is developed for unit root testing in a threshold autoregression, in … asymptotic theory for this bootstrap. It is demonstrated by a set of Monte Carlo simulations that the Wald test exhibits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342185
This paper proposes bootstrap versions of the seasonal unit root tests of, inter alia, Hylleberg, Engle, Granger and Yoo (1990,Journal of Econometrics 55, 305-328)[HEGY]. We report a simulation study of the properties of both the conventional and bootstrapped seasonal unit root tests when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130173
The paper develops a unit-root test that allows for an unknown number of structural breaks with unknown functional forms. The test is based on the fact that the behavior of such series can often be captured using a single frequency component of a Fourier approximation. Hence, instead of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063755
Being able to correctly characterise an observed time series into its separate difference stationary and trend stationary regimes, should they exist, has important implications for effective model building and forecasting in economics and finance. Existing ratio-based statistics test the null...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702530
Understanding and forecasting financial time series depend crucially on identifying any non-linearity which may be present. Recent developments in tests for non-linearity very commonly display low power, most likely because of over-smoothing and discarding pertinent information. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702559
In this paper I investigate the asymptotic behavior of tests for problems with locally asymptotically quadratic likelihood. I present necessary and sufficient conditions for a test to be admissible. Even without these restrictive parametric assumptions, I can show that certain common procedures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702610
Tests for structural change play an important role in macroeconomics and international finance. We investigate the empirical performance of the Bai and Perron (1998) multiple structural change tests and show that the use of their critical values may cause severe size distortions in persistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702663
In this paper, we consider testing marginal distributional assumptions. Special cases that we consider are the Pearson's family like the Gaussian, Student, Gamma, Beta and uniform distributions. The test statistics we consider are based on the first moment conditions derived by Hansen and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328955
In this paper it is shown that "classical" tests can become asymptotically inadmissible (i.e. we show that there exist uniformly better tests) if the information matrix becomes stochastic: A typical example is the augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit roots (in case of no deterministic trend. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328960
distribution theory for the cointegrating vector in the error correction model with conditional heteroskedasticity has not been … developed. This paper fills this gap in the literature by developing an asymptotic theory for the cointegrating vector estimator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328963