Showing 1 - 10 of 129
interest rate rule, raising the possibility of inefficient fluctuations due to the dependence of expectations on extraneous … combine forward looking expectations and predetermined variables. We consider a variety of specifications that incorporate … both lagged and expected inflation in the Phillips Curve, and both expected inflation and inertial elements in the policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986495
interest rate rule, raising the possibility of inefficient fluctuations due to the dependence of expectations on extraneous … combine forward looking expectations and predetermined variables. We consider a variety of specifications that incorporate … both lagged and expected inflation in the Phillips Curve, and both expected inflation and inertial elements in the policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005120769
interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986410
interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005007633
As inflation rates in the United States decline, analysts are asking if there are economic reasons to hold the rates at … levels above zero. Previous studies of whether inflation greases the wheels of the labor market ignore inflation's potential … allows the benefits of inflation (downward wage flexibility) to be separated from disruptive uncertainty about inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958799
is derived from policy-makers' preferences about inflation outcomes, we first show that downside risks to price stability … future inflation can provide insurance against the materialisation of such upside risks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986359
The European Central Bank has assigned a special role to money in its two pillar strategy and has received much criticism for this decision. The case against including money in the central banks interest rate rule is based on a standard model of the monetary transmission process that underlies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986372
This paper uses factor-augmented vector autoregressions (FAVAR) estimated using a large data set to disentangle fluctuations in disaggregated consumer and producer prices which are due to macroeconomic factors from those due to sectorial conditions. This allows us to provide consistent estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986414
inflation within a certain band. We use stochastic simulations of a smallscale rational expectations model to contrast the … inflation and its target, and the gap between output and its potential. Under the opportunistic approach to disinflation a … central bank controls inflation aggressively when inflation is far from its target, but concentrates more on output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986427
In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, the state of macroeconomic modeling and the use of macroeconomic models in policy analysis has come under heavy criticism. Macroeconomists in academia and policy institutions have been blamed for relying too much on a particular class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986439